J. C. Penney Company, Inc. (JCP)- Performance Analysis Delights Active Investors


J. C. Penney Company, Inc. (NYSE:JCP) shares shows upbeat performance moved up 2.62% to trade at $1.00 in the last beat as the firm is preparing for talks with its creditors on possible transactions to ease its debt burden and give the company’s new chief executive more breathing room ahead of the critical holiday season. “As a matter of policy, we do not comment on discussions with creditors and other partners,” Sarah Holland, a representative for Plano, Texas-based J.C. Penney, said in an email.

The cost to protect J.C. Penney’s debt against a near-term default has declined dramatically in recent weeks. On Wednesday, it cost $233,000 to insure $10 million of debt against default for six months, down from as high as $1.9 million in early August. By excluding these economic factors, the firm is standing on an inconsistent situation. To cut down amount of noise on price chart, shares of firm has 20 days moving average price of 9.75% from last close price of 1.00 and act as support or resistance of price limit. This will give analytical advantage to a shorter-term trader since it pursues the price more intimately, and consequently produces less “lag” as comparison to the longer-term moving average.

Digging it in detail and shift focus on performance of the company that has shown a discernible change in trend levels over the path of recent market activity. In this case performance of tends to percentage rate of return for a stock for a given time frame. J. C. Penney Company, Inc. (NYSE:JCP) has diverse figures for different time frames; starting from week’s performance plunged 9.06% in last five regular trading sessions. Whereas, in last 21 trading days (one month) was increased -9.91% and plunged in last 63 trading days (quarter) of -13.04%. Through this figure traders can analyze that JCP show whether or not a stock currently most active and standing in buying side or sell side. This gauge is crucial in determining whether investors are moved toward the direction of buying more of the stock, or else doing the contradictory side and selling more of the stock. This is very important directional information necessary for making trading decisions.

Moving further regarding price changes, for short-term or active investment approach moving average with a short time frame will react much quicker to price changes interpretation. For this JCP’s 20 days and 50 days MA (moving average) comparison clear the blur picture. The firm has fifty days moving average percentage of 27.41% to its latest price change. For the long-term approach of trading or also can for short period of time, 200 days MA can also help to get idea about trading, JCP has -11.55% which indicates Bearish trends and this can also make isolating trends easier.

Whereas for long term intention, measuring performance with long timeframe can help for taking more accurate investment decision that includes quarter, semi-annual and annual performance. The co’s performance for 6 months was decreased of -20.00%, 1-year performance stands at -43.82% and year to date showing slashed performance of -3.85%.

The firm is being kept as ‘growth engine’ with a good customer revenue retention rates but is losing money more rapidly than ever in several ways. The total volume of 7.16 Million shares traded in the latest session, while on average its shares change hands of 11576.17 shares. The investors from both active and passive school of thoughts always require every bit of information available regarding his chosen security and this include keeping close watch on fundamental and technical data. J. C. Penney Company, Inc. (NYSE:JCP) has noticeable measure of stock volatility, for this average true range is an exponential moving average (14 trading days) of the True Ranges. The Firm has ATR of 0.08 that is explaining range of a day’s trading is high-low; ATR expands it to yesterday’s closing price if it was outside of latest range. These unswerving movements and comparing with its overall performance have shaped higher daily volatility making other factor as constant (Micro/macroeconomic factors). A statistical measure of the dispersion of returns (volatility) for JCP producing salvation in Investors mouth, it has week volatility of 6.28% and for the month booked as 8.32%. This volatility measure use for multipurpose in judging the underlying price momentum as well as the rate of change in JCP’s price.

According to fact sheet, consensus recommendation of Analysts’ gave mean rating of 3.50 on scale of 1-5. Relatively counter intuitively perhaps 1 is being scored as a ‘Strong Buy’, ‘5’ as a ‘Strong sell’ and ‘3’ took as a ‘Hold’. Experts’ opinion always took as vital for valuing stocks.


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